Rocket Lab ($RKLB) Neutron Rocket Tank Test Accident Raises Delay Risk for First Launch

Rocket Lab ($RKLB) Faces Neutron Tank Test Accident — Could the First Launch Be Delayed?
Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) is drawing fresh attention after confirming an accident during qualification testing for its upcoming Neutron rocket. The incident involved a Stage 1 tank rupture during a hydrostatic pressure trial, raising concerns that the long-awaited debut flight could slip further.
What Happened in the Neutron Test?
According to Rocket Lab, the company conducted an overnight qualification test on Neutron’s Stage 1 tank. During the hydrostatic pressure trial, the tank ruptured—a type of failure that can happen in structural qualification programs designed to push hardware beyond normal operating limits.
While the headline sounds alarming, Rocket Lab emphasized that:
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There was no significant damage to the test structure or facilities
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The next Stage 1 tank is already in production
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Neutron’s development program will continue while engineers review test data
Why Hydrostatic Pressure Testing Matters
Hydrostatic testing is commonly used across aerospace and industrial engineering to validate tanks and structures under pressure. It helps teams confirm safety margins, identify weak points, and improve manufacturing processes before flight hardware is finalized.
However, a rupture at this stage can still matter—especially for a rocket like Neutron, which is a key growth driver in Rocket Lab’s plan to move beyond smaller Electron launches.
Could Neutron’s First Launch Be Pushed Back Again?
Rocket Lab said the team is reviewing the Stage 1 test data, and that the results will determine the impact on Neutron’s launch schedule. The company plans to provide an update during its Q4 2025 earnings call in February.
Neutron’s first launch was already expected in 2026, after Rocket Lab previously delayed the debut to allow more testing and qualification work.
This latest test outcome adds uncertainty: if design changes or production rework is required, timelines could shift again—even if the overall program remains on track.
What Investors Should Watch Next
For $RKLB investors, the key factors to monitor are:
1) February schedule update
Management guidance will likely shape near-term sentiment.
2) Progress on flight hardware production
Rocket Lab stated the next tank is already being built, which may reduce delay risk.
3) Market reaction and volatility
After-hours price moves reflected investor sensitivity to Neutron milestones.
Bottom line: The tank rupture doesn’t automatically mean a major setback—but it does put the spotlight back on execution risk and the timeline to Neutron’s first flight.